Transition risks arise from the global shift toward a low-carbon economy and include regulatory, market, technological, and reputational changes. Our transition risk assessment is based on the internationally recognized Task Force on Climate-related Financial Disclosures (TCFD) framework and covers our full value chain, all business areas, and key regions.
Embedding climate scenarios in risk assessment
We have evaluated transition risks using two IPCC Shared Socioeconomic Pathways (SSPs):
- IPCC SSP1: A sustainable development scenario emphasizing more inclusive development that respects environmental boundaries.
- IPCC SSP2: A scenario reflecting a continuation of current social, economic, and technological trends leading to maintaining historical patterns of development, including uneven progress in different regions.
Key risks identified include potential supply disruptions and rising costs associated with critical minerals and components, green steel, and bulk materials such as conventional steel. There is also a risk of delays or an inability to develop future technologies in a timely manner. In addition, regulatory developments such as CO₂ taxation and the expansion of the Emissions Trading System (ETS) present further considerations for the company’s strategic planning.
Transition risks are more pronounced under the SSP1 scenario, meaning that if current trends continue (SSP2), ANDRITZ demonstrates solid resilience. Overall, the results show that ANDRITZ is well prepared for the transition to a more sustainable economy. Our broad sector presence helps reduce both the likelihood and impact of these risks. By delivering enabling technologies and using renewable raw materials, particularly in our Pulp & Paper and Hydro business areas, ANDRITZ is well positioned to seize opportunities arising from the green transition.